Both sides are cautious to not disturb the delicate balance that has been arrived at and have not disclosed the compromises, if any, that have been made.
On Friday, just hours after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his Irish counterpart unexpectedly stated, they had hammered out a potential deal during last minute talks, chief negotiators from both the European Union and Britain sat down for breakfast.
With the United Kingdom scheduled to leave the EU, the world’s biggest trading bloc on October 31, there is great uncertainty surrounding its historic departure. It is still unclear on what terms Britain will leave the EU and even whether it will leave at all.
In a week that saw wild swings in Brexit negotiations, it began with London and Brussels starting a very public row and ended with a meeting that was cast as “very positive” by Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar.
In what could potentially come as a breakthrough, Michel Barnier, the EU’s chief negotiator met British Brexit Secretary Steve Barclay for breakfast at the EU Commission’s Berlaymont headquarters in Brussels. The talks could potentially pave the way for a deal at an October 17-18 summit.
“I think it is possible for us to come to an agreement, to have a treaty agreed, to allow the UK to leave the EU in an orderly fashion and to have that done by the end of October,” said Varadkar to Irish reporters following the meeting.
In a joint statement, the two leaders stated, they could “see a pathway to a possible deal”; however officials on both sides remained cautious and did not disclose what compromises, if any, had been arrived at to break the deadlock over Ireland’s border.
If Johnson wants to get the deal done, he must get a better grip on the complexities surrounding the Irish border issue before getting the approval of Europe’s biggest powers and then he needs to sell the deal to the British parliament, which incidentally he suspended unlawfully last month and where he lacks majority.
Johnson, who was the face of the 2016 Brexit referendum campaign, made no comment on the meeting with Varadkar.
IRELAND HOLDS THE KEYS
A disorderly Brexit will significantly impact Ireland’s growth, roil global financial markets and perhaps even result in a break-up of the United Kingdom.
Dublin’s consent is required to any hard Brexit riddle.
According to Britain’s Northern Ireland minister, no single party in Northern Ireland would be given a veto in any Brexit deal, however a deal is now “a distinct possibility”.
Incidentally, the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), which supports Johnson’s minority government, has an effective veto on post-Brexit customs checks on the Irish border under proposals put forward by Johnson last week.
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