Six months into the Middle East war, financial markets have absorbed a shock that initially appeared capable of triggering a much broader global crisis. The conflict disrupted oil production, restricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and damaged energy infrastructure… Read More ›
Strategy
Meta’s AI Workforce Gamble Exposes the Limits of Automation
Meta’s attempt to rebuild its workforce around artificial intelligence has exposed a problem that extends far beyond one company: replacing human work with AI is considerably harder than reducing the number of people doing it. What began as an ambitious… Read More ›
Sticky Core Inflation Keeps the US Fed Under Pressure
The latest US inflation data have complicated the Federal Reserve’s path toward lower interest rates, with core personal consumption expenditures inflation holding at 3.3 percent in July, well above the central bank’s 2 percent objective. The broader personal consumption expenditures… Read More ›
Bill Gates Warns AI Expansion Is Outpacing Govt. Policy Preparation Globally
Bill Gates is warning that the world is entering an artificial intelligence transition faster than governments, businesses and communities are preparing for its consequences. In a new essay, the Microsoft co-founder argues that AI could deliver major gains in medicine,… Read More ›
AI Investment Could Raise Inflation Before Productivity Cuts Prices
Artificial intelligence is widely expected to make businesses more productive, reduce operating costs and eventually make many goods and services cheaper. Yet the technology could create a less obvious economic problem during the transition: it may raise inflation before its… Read More ›
Six EU Countries Push to Tax Oil War Windfalls
Germany, Spain, Portugal, Italy, Poland and Austria are pushing the European Union toward a common response to an increasingly difficult political problem: oil companies are earning unusually large profits while European households and businesses are paying substantially more for fuel… Read More ›
US Tariffs Push Canada Toward a Costly Trade War
Canada and the United States are moving from prolonged tariff disputes toward a more direct trade confrontation after last-minute negotiations collapsed and Washington imposed a new 50 percent tariff on a range of Canadian goods. The breakdown is significant because… Read More ›
Pakistan Seeks a Diplomatic Exit as US Escalates Economic Pressure on Iran
Pakistan is stepping into an increasingly important diplomatic space between Washington and Tehran just as the United States prepares to intensify economic pressure on Iran. The visit to Tehran by Pakistan’s army chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, comes at a… Read More ›
US Tariffs Turn Canada Trade Into A Strategic Confrontation
The United States has imposed 50 percent tariffs on a range of Canadian goods after Washington and Ottawa failed to reach a trade agreement, transforming a prolonged dispute between two closely integrated economies into a more serious confrontation. The immediate… Read More ›
Trump’s Iran Sanctions Threat Adds A Temporary Oil Risk Premium
Oil prices have risen as President Donald Trump threatens tougher sanctions against countries that continue trading with Iran, but the latest increase appears to be driven primarily by a temporary geopolitical risk premium rather than a fundamental collapse in global… Read More ›